About this site

This site provides information related to the prediction markets ForecastEx lists for weather, climate, and energy.

The FAQ covers much more information, primarily focused on the daily temperature markets.

About the author

Patrick T. Brown is the Head of Climate Analytics at Trend Analytics, LLC (a subsidiary of Interactive Brokers).

His work focuses on the information discovery and risk-transfer applications of prediction markets in weather, climate, and natural disasters.

He holds a PhD in Earth and Climate Science from Duke University, a master’s degree in Meteorology and Climate Science from San Jose State University, and a bachelor’s degree in atmospheric and oceanic sciences from the University of Wisconsin, Madison. He is an adjunct faculty member (lecturer) in the Energy Policy and Climate Program at Johns Hopkins University and has conducted research at the Carnegie Institution at Stanford University, NASA JPL at Caltech, NASA Langley in Virginia, NASA Goddard in Washington, D.C., and NOAA’s GFDL at Princeton University. He has published scientific papers in Nature, PNAS, and Nature Climate Change, as well as many disciplinary journals, and his research and commentary have appeared in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Economist, CNBC, CNN, The BBC, The Washington Post, NPR, Newsweek, The Guardian, The Atlantic, Foreign Policy, and The Los Angeles Times, among other venues.

Articles written by Patrick related to this site can be found at interactivebrokers.com/campus/author/patrick1brown

Other content written by Patrick related to this site can be found at x.com/PatrickTBrown31

Contact Patrick for questions about the site or further inquiries at pabrown@interactivebrokers.com